Section 435 An Atlanta Braves blog. From the upper deck at Turner Field.

Posted
14 April 2008 @ 6pm

Tagged
Notes and Thoughts

Yet Another Dreadfully Needed Off Day

Adding depth to the starting pitching rotation over the winter was supposed to cut down on the number of Chuck James Classics – five innings then off to the bullpen. Yet, in 12 games, we’ve already had two starters go down before recording an out and only three times has our starter gone at least seven (Tim Hudson twice, Jair Jurrjens once.) I’ll keep saying it: the more guys in the bullpen you go to in a game, the better the chance you’re going to find the guy who doesn’t have it that day.

On One-Run Games, Again

This one-run game stat is really overrated. Obviously, it’s frustrating to keep losing games that are that close, but I think it would be a lot more frustrating to be losing games that we weren’t in at all. The numbers on one-run games will tell you that it’s only a silghtly meaningful statistic at best.

Take a look at your 2007 playoff teams. Only four of eight teams had winning records in one-run games. And neither of your World Series teams did: Boston was 22-28; Colorado 19-19.

The key stats here are the W and L, not the final score delta. Of course an L in a one-run game is an L, so obviously a poor record in one-run games is going to have some bearing on your record. However, I think our record compared with our runs scored (67) vs. runs allowed (52) may just blow all the statistics out of the water.

On Glavine

You know Glavine must have been hurting to take himself out of a game. Nonetheless, I think if it was serious, they would have disabled him by now (of course, they can do that retroactively to today later on). Jo Jo Reyes looks to have the drop on his roster spot should that come to pass.


1 Comment

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Section 435 – Braves Lead in Fake Standings
29 April 2008 @ 3pm

[...] I know, I know. The idea is to try to somehow eliminate the luck factor from our actual record. And Pythagorean records end up being remarkably accurate except for when they’re not. But the two numbers that matter at the end of the day are the ones in the W and L columns. I said this a few weeks ago when folks were over analyzing the one-run game situation. [...]


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